UK 10-year gilt yields fell toward 4.75%, following declines in US Treasury yields and crude prices. While Strait of Hormuz shipping remains volatile and short-term oil supply uncertain, structural oil supply is set to rise after OPEC+’s production increase. On monetary policy, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey struck a cautious note last week, citing a slowing UK economy and stating the BoE would not act hastily in response to rising oil prices. He confirmed inflation remains on track for 2%, albeit later than previously expected, and ruled out near-term rate cuts. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh acknowledged easing inflation expectations but reaffirmed the Fed’s 2% target. US jobs data revealed only 57,000 jobs added last month, with unemployment falling to 4.2% as workers left the labor force.

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