The ISM Manufacturing PMI for the US remained unchanged at 52.7 in April 2026, matching its highest level since August 2022 but falling short of market expectations for a rise to 53.0. New orders grew at a faster pace (54.1 vs. 53.5 in March), and supplier deliveries lengthened further (60.6 vs. 58.9). However, production expanded at a slower rate (53.4 vs. 55.1), and employment levels declined at the sharpest pace in four months (46.4 vs. 48.7). Prices surged at the fastest rate since late 2021, driven by rising oil and diesel costs linked to the Middle East conflict. According to Susan Spence, Chair of the ISM Manufacturing Business Survey Committee, sentiment among panelists remained mixed in the second month of the Iran War. While 31% of comments were positive, 69% were negative—a ratio of 1 to 2.2. The war was mentioned in 47% of responses, with tariffs referenced in 18%. Some panelists addressed both issues in a single comment, often with conflicting sentiment.

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