CommerzBank
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Polish Zloty: NBP language turns cautious after FX pressure – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that NBP Governor Adam Glapinski used G20 remarks to shift towards a more neutral, flexible stance,…
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US Dollar: August inflation key to September Fed decision – Commerzbank
Antje Praefcke at Commerzbank highlights that markets now price nearly a 70% chance of a September Fed hike after Chair Kevin Warsh’s…
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Euro: Proactive ECB seen as supportive – Commerzbank
Michael Pfister at Commerzbank notes that several central banks, including the European Central Bank (ECB), have already raised rates following the inflation…
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Chinese Yuan: Undervaluation and export gains questioned – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur challenges recent internal analysis on CNY undervaluation and exports, arguing that China’s exchange-rate management and gold purchases point to…
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US Dollar: Warsh speech risks asymmetric USD reaction – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes the US Dollar has stabilized after last week’s setback, with Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech seen…
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Turkish Lira: Inflation expectations outpace CBRT forecasts – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose revisits Turkish inflation dynamics, noting seasonally-adjusted price momentum above 2% m/m and warning that disinflation is unlikely.…
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Australian Dollar: RBA waits as inflation sticks – Commerzbank
Volkmar Baur at Commerzbank notes that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is in wait-and-see mode after three rate hikes,…
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Gold: Tariff conflict fuels safe haven bid – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch reports that Gold has surged to a three‑month high near USD 4,700 per ounce as US–Canada tariff…
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CEE FX: Koruna leads as policy diverges – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reviews recent CEE FX performance, noting that the euro’s strength above 1.17 has supported high-beta PLN and…
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Malaysian Ringgit: Robust trade supports MYR – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Moses Lim notes Malaysia’s July exports rose 38.0% year-on-year, marking a fourth month of double‑digit growth led by electronics…
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