The Overbalance analysis aims to identify three financial instruments, analysed exclusively on a four-hour interval (H4). The analysis uses only the Overbalance methodology, which allows us to determine where the trend may continue or where it may change.
Today’s analysis covers three instruments, assessed exclusively in terms of the 1:1 correction structure.
Australian Dollar/US Dollar
The AUDUSD currency pair has been moving in an upward trend since November. So far, two corrections of identical range have appeared on the chart, in line with the Overbalance methodology. The last one was tested several times, but its lower limit was successfully defended, which led to the generation of a strong upward impulse with a range exceeding 200 pips. Currently, in the event of a further extension of the correction, the key support remains at 0.6847, resulting from the lower limit of the 1:1 geometry. Only its negation could lead to a change in the balance of power and undermine the current upward trend.

AUDUSD – H4 interval | Source: xStation5
US Dollar/Japanese Yen
USDJPY quotes have been on an upward trend since April last year. However, the latest downward correction has been relatively dynamic. If the downward movement continues, the key support level remains at 152.93, where the lower limit of the 1:1 geometry is located. Resistance, on the other hand, is at 155.18, which is the upper limit of the local 1:1 downward pattern. A break above this level could pave the way for another attempt to reach recent highs. However, a sustained break below the support level of 152.90 would increase the risk of a deeper downward correction.

USDJPY – H4 interval | Source: xStation5
CADJPY
The CADJPY currency pair has been moving in an upward trend for a long time. However, in recent days, the local 1:1 level at 113.22 has been negated, which should now be treated as significant resistance. If the downward correction continues to expand, the key support level remains at 111.90, which is the largest correction in the entire upward trend that began in October last year. Only a negation of this level could lead to a significant acceleration of declines and a change in medium-term sentiment.

CADJPY – H4 interval | Source: xStation5
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