
The New Zealand dollar steadied at 0.582, remaining near a six-week high, supported by growing expectations of further interest rate increases following a hot inflation reading. New Zealand’s annual inflation accelerated to 4.1% in Q2 from 3.1% in Q1, exceeding both market forecasts of 4% and the RBNZ’s projection of 3.9%. It marked the highest level since Q4 2023 and pushed inflation further above the central bank’s 1–3% target range. The hot print solidified wagers that the central bank will deliver another 25-basis-point rate hike in September, with swaps also implying additional increases in either October or December, followed by another move in February next year. Last week, RBNZ Chief Economist Paul Conway said that Middle East-driven inflation risks to the third quarter outlook have increased, and that some further reduction in monetary stimulus is likely to be needed.





