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Malaysian palm oil futures hovered below MYR 4,950 per tonne, ending their recent rally as weaker edible oils on the Dalian and Chicago exchanges weighed on sentiment. Weak exports added pressure, with cargo surveyors estimating Malaysian palm oil shipments fell 6.5%–14.9% in August from the prior month. Ample supply also remained a concern, with inventories rising to a five-month high in July. Meanwhile, EU palm oil imports for the 2026/27 season, which began in July, plunged 21% yoy, pointing to weaker demand from a key market. Demand from India could face headwinds as refiners favour cheaper soyoil, although expectations for strong August vegetable oil imports may provide some support. Losses were partly cushioned by a weaker ringgit, which makes palm oil cheaper for overseas buyers. Firmer oil prices provided further support amid concerns over supply disruptions, while rising El Niño risks raised worries about drier conditions and potential production losses across Southeast Asia.
