
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.67% on Monday, supported by lower oil prices and easing inflation concerns as hopes grew that tensions in the Middle East could ease. US President Trump said negotiations with Iran would begin on Monday afternoon and canceled a planned attack on the country. Investors are also awaiting a fresh batch of US economic data this week, including the closely watched employment report, for further clues on the strength of the labor market. Last week, the Fed left interest rates unchanged, although three policymakers dissented. Markets are now pricing in a roughly 63% probability of a 25bps rate hike in September, down from around 80% before the policy decision, as Chair Kevin Warsh provided little forward guidance on the outlook for interest rates. Separately, reports indicated that Warsh is considering reducing the number of Federal Reserve policy meetings from the current eight per year.





