The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose to 4.36% on Monday, the highest level in about a week, as traders returned from an extended holiday and continued to assess the impact of the war with Iran, now in its sixth week, while oil prices hovered near 2022 highs. President Trump threatened to target Iran’s power plants starting Tuesday, while Iran continues striking energy infrastructure in neighboring Gulf countries. Still, reports that Iran, the US, and a group of regional mediators are discussing a potential 45-day ceasefire that could pave the way toward ending the war and news indicating that more ships are passing through the Strait of Hormuz offered some temporary relief. Investors now await a series of releases that will provide further insight into the health of the economy, including the CPI and the FOMC minutes. Markets have fully priced the Fed will leave the federal funds rate steady later this month and expect borrowing costs to remain unchanged throughout the year.
