US 10-Year Yield Eases Ahead of Jobs Data

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note slipped to around 4.7% on Monday, retreating from an 18-month high as investors awaited a busy week of labor market data, highlighted by Friday’s closely watched monthly US jobs report. Last week, the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, although three officials dissented, warning that waiting too long to act could eventually require more aggressive policy tightening. Markets are currently pricing in about a 68% chance of a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in September. Meanwhile, reports indicated that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is considering reducing the number of policy meetings from the current eight per year. Investors have criticized Warsh’s efforts to limit forward guidance on the path of interest rates, while the Fed continues to face mounting pressure to do more to rein in inflation.



