US 10Y Yield Holds Firm on Hawkish Warsh Remarks

The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note traded around 4.7% on Monday after rising for three consecutive sessions, as hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh prompted traders to increase bets on an imminent interest rate hike. In his Jackson Hole address on Friday, Warsh warned that inflation isn’t meaningfully slowing and reaffirmed policymakers’ commitment to returning inflation to their 2% target. Markets are now pricing in around a 57% chance that the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points in September, up sharply from about 40% a week ago. A surprise upward revision to the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index also supported US Treasury yields. Investors now turn their attention to Friday’s August jobs report for greater clarity on the outlook for US monetary policy.



