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- Australian Dollar inches lower after posting 0.42% gains in the previous day.
- The AUD may gain support from a reinforced hawkish RBA stance amid persistent energy-driven inflation pressures.
- US Vice President JD Vance’s remarks mildly support risk sentiment, signaling diplomacy and potential US–Iran de-escalation.
AUD/USD retreats after posting modest gains in the previous session, trading around 0.7090 during Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair could regain traction as the Australian Dollar (AUD) may draw support from a reinforced hawkish bias by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), driven by persistent energy-led inflation pressures.
RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser cautioned that Australia is navigating a difficult macroeconomic environment, where elevated inflation and constrained supply capacity are increasing the risk of a stagflation-like scenario if energy shocks continue.
Hauser noted that the central bank’s “nightmare” scenario would involve inflation rising alongside weakening economic activity, a combination that would make policy decisions significantly more complex.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure as comments from US Vice President JD Vance appear mildly supportive of risk sentiment, signaling ongoing diplomatic efforts and a possible path toward US-Iran conflict de-escalation. However, the absence of tangible progress continues to keep the oil-related risk premium elevated.
In an interview with Fox News, Vance adopted a cautiously optimistic tone regarding negotiations with Iran, indicating that meaningful progress has been made despite the absence of a breakthrough. He stated that recent discussions over the weekend were constructive, providing US officials with deeper insight into Iran’s negotiating stance.
Although the talks did not yield a formal agreement, Vance stressed that the outcome should not be viewed as a failure, highlighting that Iranian representatives showed some willingness to move closer to US positions, though not enough to finalize a deal.
