China’s 10-year government bond yield fell to a one-week low of around 1.84% as investors reacted to the latest inflation data, which added complexity to the monetary policy outlook. Consumer prices rose 0.7% year-on-year in November 2025, the highest level since February 2024. The Politburo recently pledged to boost domestic demand and support the wider economy in 2026, while maintaining a cautious stance on stimulus measures. Meanwhile, producer price deflation deepened to 2.2% in November, marking the 38th consecutive month of declining producer prices. Beijing has committed to tackling what it calls “disorderly” price competition, but progress has been slow amid concerns that more aggressive regulatory action could risk jobs or undermine already fragile growth. Market focus is now shifting to the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference, where policymakers are expected to set next year’s growth targets and outline key policy priorities for China’s 2026 economic agenda.

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