S&P 500 — US Large Cap Index
FTSE 100 — UK Blue Chips
Euro Stoxx 50 — Eurozone Leaders
DAX 40 — German Equities
CAC 40 — French Market Index
Nikkei 225 — Japan Benchmark
Hang Seng — Hong Kong Index
Shanghai Composite — China Mainland
ASX 200 — Australian Market
TSX Composite — Canada Index
Nifty 50 — India Large Cap
STI Index — Singapore Market
KOSPI — South Korea Index
Bovespa — Brazil Equities
JSE Top 40 — South Africa Index
IPC Index — Mexico Market
- EUR/CAD appreciates on increased risk appetite amid easing US–Venezuela tensions.
- The Canadian Dollar may face pressure as renewed US access to Venezuelan crude weighs on Canadian Oil demand.
- Germany’s flash December CPI and HICP data will be closely watched later on Tuesday.
EUR/CAD gains ground for the second successive session, trading around 1.6140 during the European hours on Tuesday. The currency cross appreciates as the risk-sensitive Euro (EUR) strengthens, while the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) could face pressure amid expectations of renewed United States (US) and corporate access to Venezuela’s vast crude reserves, weighing on Canadian Oil demand from its largest buyer.
Additionally, speculation around future Venezuelan output and a muted initial price response have heightened concerns that a sustained decline in Oil prices would undermine a key pillar of Canada’s external earnings and currency support. Meanwhile, the global Oil outlook into 2026 looks softer, with ample supply and more subdued demand expectations reducing the downside cushion for the CAD.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price declines after registering more than 1.5% gains in the previous session, trading around $57.70 at the time of writing. Traders evaluate the impact of US actions toward Venezuela on global Oil supply. Despite holding the world’s largest proven reserves, Venezuela contributes less than 1% share of global output, limiting the potential price impact of any export disruption.
Traders will likely observe the HCOB Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data from Germany and the Eurozone. Germany’s preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data for December will also be eyed later in the day.
The Euro is supported after the European Central Bank (ECB) signaled it will keep interest rates on hold for an extended period following its December 2025 decision. ECB President Christine Lagarde said that heightened uncertainty makes it difficult to offer clear forward guidance on future policy decisions.
