
The New Zealand dollar rose to around $0.577 on Tuesday, its highest level in four weeks, following remarks from RBNZ Chief Economist Paul Conway. Conway warned that inflation may not ease as quickly as the central bank expects, raising the possibility of further interest rate hikes. Last week, the RBNZ lowered its forecast for third-quarter inflation to 3.3% from 4.3%, citing lower fuel prices following the interim US-Iran agreement. However, oil prices have rebounded in recent days as renewed fighting in the Middle East fueled supply concerns. The RBNZ’s hawkish stance last week, combined with a series of upbeat domestic economic data, has led markets to price in two additional rate hikes this year. However, the kiwi’s gains were limited as the standoff between the US and Iran intensified, with President Trump reimposing a US naval blockade of Iranian ports and announcing a 20% charge on all cargo shipped through the Strait of Hormuz, dampening risk appetite.





