• USD/CHF falls to around 0.7930 in Monday’s early European session. 
• US and Iran confirmed a ‘peace deal’ was reached, signing in Switzerland on Friday. 
• The Fed is widely anticipated to keep its interest rate steady as it remains in “wait-and-see” mode.

The USD/CHF pair slumps to near 0.7930, the lowest since June 5, during the early European trading hours on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) weakens against the Swiss Franc (CHF) after the US and Iran announced a framework deal for peace. Traders brace for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision later on Wednesday. 

US President Donald Trump on Sunday announced a “great deal” to end the war with Iran. Iran’s National Security Council stated that the US naval blockade will be lifted immediately and the war will end on all fronts, including Lebanon. Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said that the official signing ceremony for the “peace deal” will take place on Friday in Switzerland. Signs of progress in the US-Iran peace agreement boost the CHF and create a headwind for the pair. 

The US central bank is set to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged at a target range of 3.50% to 3.75% at its upcoming policy meeting on Wednesday. Traders will closely monitor the press conference and take more cues about how new Fed chair Kevin Warsh will lead the US central bank into its next era. Any hawkish remarks from Fed officials could lift the Greenback and act as a headwind for the major pair. 

Markets have priced in nearly a 64% chance of a Fed interest rate hike in December this year after the peace deal, down from 69% last week, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

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