European natural gas futures fell to €46.5 per MWh, amid hopes of a US-Iran peace deal that could resume LNG flows from the Persian Gulf. Reports suggest that the two sides have reached a draft 60-day ceasefire and a framework for renewed nuclear talks, which now awaits final approval from President Trump. However, comments from US Vice President JD Vance that a deal is “close” but “not there yet” kept a floor under prices. An agreement could restore traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, which has remained largely closed for three months now. Prolonged disruption has raised worries that Europe could struggle to rebuild already relatively low gas storage levels ahead of the next winter. Adding to demand-side pressures, Europe is experiencing its first major heatwave of the season, with record temperatures forecast in cities such as London, Paris, and Madrid.

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