S&P 500 — US Large Cap Index
FTSE 100 — UK Blue Chips
Euro Stoxx 50 — Eurozone Leaders
DAX 40 — German Equities
CAC 40 — French Market Index
Nikkei 225 — Japan Benchmark
Hang Seng — Hong Kong Index
Shanghai Composite — China Mainland
ASX 200 — Australian Market
TSX Composite — Canada Index
Nifty 50 — India Large Cap
STI Index — Singapore Market
KOSPI — South Korea Index
Bovespa — Brazil Equities
JSE Top 40 — South Africa Index
IPC Index — Mexico Market
Rabobank’s RaboResearch team notes recent comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials Barkin and Goolsbee align with a more hawkish FOMC tone, emphasizing persistent core CPI, especially in services, and justifying further rate hikes. The September dot plot signals one more hike and then a prolonged hold through 2027, as markets await October US CPI data and its implications for US yields.
Fed signals and CPI in focus
“A few Fed speakers crawled out of the woodwork yesterday to opine on the inflationary environment in the US, including alternate voter Barkin, from the Richmond Fed, and non-voter Goolsbee from Chicago. Rhetoric from both broadly aligned with the now more hawkish lilt across the FOMC, citing the persistence of core CPI inflation, especially in services, and the justification for future hikes.”
“That said, the dot plot from the September SEP (which is noticeably missing a dot from Fed chair Warsh) projects one more Fed hike, followed by a hold throughout 2027, even as many FOMC board members project a second hike in 2027.”
“Bloomberg-surveyed analysts are forecasting some cooling from 0.6% m/m to 0.3% m/m, as national US average gasoline prices fell throughout October from September highs.”
