Banks
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USD/JPY: Overextension near 160 raises BoJ risk – DBS
Philip Wee at DBS Group Research argues that USD/JPY looks overextended as it tests Japan’s 160 pain threshold. The pair…
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Eurozone: Inflation and fiscal shifts shape rates – BNY
BNY’s Bob Savage flags unpleasant preliminary March inflation in Europe, driven by energy and refined products, with diesel prices above…
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ECB: Recovery outlook and rate path – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economists see the Euro area entering the latest energy shock with improved resilience and reduced Oil and gas…
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Brent: War-driven supply shock supports prices – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao and Moses Lim highlight that Brent crude Oil remains supported as Middle East conflict disrupts regional…
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USD/MXN: Trade resilience supports Peso – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that Mexico’s strong US export performance and extensive USMCA compliance have cushioned the Mexican economy and…
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CEE FX: Limited relief for regional currencies – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes that Central and Eastern European currencies remain under pressure despite recent gains in the Forint, Zloty…
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India: Growth trimmed as energy shock bites – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered’s India economists Anubhuti Sahay and Saurav Anand cut India’s FY27 GDP growth forecast to 6.4% from 7.0% and FY26 to…
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BoC: Dovish patience with geopolitical risks – TD Securities
TD Securities analysts characterize the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) March Summary of Deliberations as slightly dovish, consistent with the March…
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USD/INR: Regulatory squeeze supports Rupee – MUFG
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan analyzes new RBI measures restricting Indian Rupee non-deliverable derivatives and recent limits on onshore USD/INR positions.…
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BoE: Bailey challenges rate hike pricing – ING
ING’s Chris Turner highlights that Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey pushed back against aggressive tightening expectations, warning markets…
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