
The euro held near $1.165 as investors processed mixed signals from Eurozone inflation data and the Middle East conflict. Euro-area inflation climbed to 3.2% in May, its highest in over two and a half years, driven by soaring energy costs tied to the war. However, core inflation accelerated more than expected to 2.5%, and services inflation rose to 3.5%, signaling broadening price pressures beyond energy. The data precedes next week’s European Central Bank meeting, with markets pricing in a 95% chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike, with two or possibly three increases expected this year. Meanwhile, ECB’s Isabel Schnabel cautioned on Monday that it’s premature to specify the number of rate hikes needed, while Lithuania’s Gediminas Šimkus suggested another hike after June is probable. Elsewhere, oil prices fell amid conflicting reports from US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Lebanon talks, with Iran pausing US negotiations until clashes cease.
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