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Japan’s 10-year government bond yield rose above 2.8% on Monday, reaching its highest level in three weeks as investors increased bets on another Bank of Japan interest rate hike. Last week, the BOJ left its policy rate unchanged at 1%, in line with expectations, keeping borrowing costs at their highest level since September 1995 after delivering a 25-basis-point rate hike in June. Policymakers nevertheless acknowledged upside inflation risks stemming from demand-driven price pressures linked to the conflict in the Middle East. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda also said it is “more necessary than ever” to remain vigilant about the risk of higher inflation given its potential adverse effects on the economy. Still, he reiterated that the central bank expects underlying inflation to remain consistent with its 2% price stability target from the second half of fiscal 2026 through the following fiscal year.
