
The pound fell back below $1.34, retreating from three-week highs, as investors reacted to rising Middle East tensions. Oil prices surged following another wave of US strikes on Iran, with both sides clashing over the status of the Strait of Hormuz. The US Central Command confirmed strikes on dozens of targets to curb Iran’s ability to threaten shipping in the region, while Iran declared the strait would remain closed “until further notice.” The resulting uncertainty amplified inflation concerns, prompting investors to increase bets on further Bank of England interest rate hikes. Markets now anticipate at least one rate increase later this year, with a possibility of a second. Politically, Andy Burnham is set to become the new Labour party leader when the leadership contest ends on Friday and is expected to be officially appointed as prime minister next Monday. Sterling’s resilience amid recent political turmoil suggests much of the negative news has already been factored in.





