Russia Manufacturing Returns to Growth

Russia’s S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 in June from 48.8 in May, signaling the first improvement in factory activity in over a year and the strongest operating conditions since January 2025. Output expanded at the fastest pace since January 2025, while new orders stabilized after 12 months of decline. Meanwhile, new export orders fell at the sharpest rate since September 2025. Employment declined further as firms did not replace voluntary leavers, though the pace of job shedding eased markedly from May’s record. On prices, both input cost and selling price inflation softened, despite supplier delivery times lengthening to the greatest extent since January 2026 due to logistics disruptions and import challenges following the war in the Middle East. Purchasing activity increased as firms prepared for stronger demand. Lastly, sentiment weakened to a three-month low amid concerns over customers’ purchasing power, despite expectations for higher output over the coming year.

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