US 10Y Yield Falls on Hormuz Deal Prospects

The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note declined to around 4.6% on Wednesday, extending its losses for a third consecutive session as reports of an imminent interim agreement between the US and Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz drove oil prices sharply lower, easing concerns over inflation and the need for aggressive interest rate hikes. On Tuesday, Qatar said an interim proposal had been prepared, while both Washington and Tehran signaled progress in negotiations to reopen Hormuz. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also said a deal could be reached as early as Tuesday or Wednesday. Markets trimmed expectations for a September Federal Reserve rate hike to around 57%, down from 67% a day earlier. Investors are now awaiting a series of US labor market reports for further clues on the Fed’s policy outlook, with ADP’s July private payrolls data due later today.



