Bank of England Poised to Hold Rates

The Bank of England is widely expected to leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.75% as policymakers weigh weak economic growth against the risk of renewed inflationary pressures stemming from the escalating conflict between the US and Iran. Although UK inflation eased to 2.6% in June, largely due to lower fuel prices during a brief lull in Middle East tensions, the recent resurgence in hostilities is expected to keep price pressures elevated and inflation above the Bank’s 2% target. The outlook offers little support for Prime Minister Andy Burnham, who has pledged to reduce living costs but has yet to outline how those measures will be financed. Governor Andrew Bailey recently acknowledged concerns over the renewed conflict but said it had not materially altered the UK’s inflation outlook. While most economists expect rates to remain unchanged through year-end, financial markets continue to price in a quarter-point increase by November.





