Corn futures fell to around $4.5 per bushel, hitting a five-week low as uncertainty over global trade and geopolitical developments weighed on prices. A potential US–Iran peace deal that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz and restore flows of fuel and fertilizers critical for crop production is seen as supportive for agricultural supply, potentially boosting global grain output. However, crude oil prices rebounded on reports of fresh US strikes in southern Iran, reinforcing biofuel-related demand. Elsewhere, doubts over a US–China trade agreement added pressure. While the US administration said China had agreed to purchase at least $17 billion in US agricultural goods annually through 2028 following Trump–Xi talks in Beijing, China’s Commerce Ministry described the arrangement only as a “guiding target” to expand trade, without confirming the figure. USDA data indicates that a recovery in Chinese corn imports would mark a notable shift after nearly two years of subdued buying.

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