Euro area consumer price inflation eased to 2.0% in December 2025, down from 2.1% in November, according to a preliminary estimate. This marks the lowest rate since August, returning to the ECB’s midpoint target and reinforcing expectations that interest rates are likely to remain steady for the foreseeable future. The slowdown reflected a modest easing in price growth for services (3.4% vs. 3.5% in November) and non-energy industrial goods (0.4% vs. 0.5%), alongside a sharper decline in energy costs (-1.9% vs. -0.5%). In contrast, prices for food, alcohol, and tobacco accelerated slightly to 2.6% from 2.4%. Core inflation, which excludes energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco, fell to 2.3%, the lowest in four months and just below expectations of 2.4%. Among Europe’s largest economies, HICP rates eased in Germany (2.0% vs. 2.6%), France (0.7% vs. 0.8%), and Spain (3.0% vs. 3.2%), while Italy bucked the trend with harmonized inflation rising slightly to 1.2% from 1.1%.

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