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Central BanksEconomic Calendar

Fed Chair Warsh Flags Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh flagged that inflation in the US economy remains high in his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. The Chairman reiterated that the PCE price index remains the gauge to be targeted, clarifying doubts from market participants after he downplayed a strict inflation gauge and opted for a more flexible model touted by one of the task forces he created. The Federal Reserve left the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% for a fifth consecutive meeting in July 2026, in line with expectations, despite markets assigning roughly a one-in-three probability to a rate hike. Three FOMC members dissented for a rate hike. After the decision, Chairman Warsh downplayed the funds rate as the preferred tool to fight inflationary risks in favor of a smaller Fed balance sheet, and continued to criticize forward guidance.

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