German 10-year Bund yields dipped to 2.95% at the end of May, approaching their lowest level since April 8 and heading for an eight-basis-point monthly decline. Cautious optimism over a potential US-Iran agreement helped ease inflation concerns, as negotiations to end the three-month war continued. Reports suggested Washington and Tehran had agreed on a 60-day ceasefire extension to allow formal talks, though President Trump has yet to approve it. Investors also analyzed fresh inflation data from Europe’s largest economies for clues on the ECB’s policy direction. German regional CPI data indicated national inflation eased in May despite higher energy prices linked to the Iran war. Meanwhile, inflation rates in France, Spain, and Italy accelerated to multi-year highs, all exceeding the ECB’s 2% target. ECB meeting minutes revealed some policymakers would have supported an April rate hike if proposed, reinforcing expectations of a 25-basis-point increase at the June 11 meeting.

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