The yield on India’s 10-year G-Sec rose to around 6.7%, recovering from two-week lows, as tight domestic liquidity and global rate trends pushed investors to demand higher returns. The Reserve Bank of India kept its repo rate at 5.25% in February 2026, after a 25-basis-point cut in December. While the hold would normally support bond prices, its impact was limited by domestic liquidity pressures and pre-policy market positioning. Indian lenders face a deposit shortfall and are reluctant to buy government bonds, as RBI’s FX interventions and liquidity injections have drained rupee funds. Banks are seeking relief on LCR norms, HTM flexibility, and CRR adjustments, with limited market participation keeping yields elevated. Additional support came from US Treasury yields, with the 10-year–2-year spread nearing a four-year high amid expectations of Fed rate cuts and persistent concerns over inflation and the fiscal deficit.

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