Japan’s 10-year government bond yield climbed to around 2.7% on Monday, hitting over one-week highs and tracking US Treasury yields higher as robust US jobs data reinforced expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike this year. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also added to the move, after Iran launched several rounds of missiles toward Israel as a warning against further military actions in Lebanon, lifting oil prices and stoking inflation concerns. Domestically, the Bank of Japan is widely expected to raise interest rates later this month as policymakers respond to persistent inflation pressures driven by elevated energy costs. Meanwhile, final data showed Japan’s economy expanded 0.5% quarter-on-quarter in Q1 2026, up from 0.2% in the previous quarter. The country also posted a stronger-than-expected current account surplus in April, supported by faster export growth relative to imports.

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