Crude oil fell to around $75.3 per barrel on Monday, hovering near its lowest level since early March as easing geopolitical tensions and progress in US-Iran negotiations supported expectations of a gradual recovery in Persian Gulf supply flows. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said talks in Switzerland had made “major progress” toward stabilising the wider regional situation, despite earlier volatility and threats to suspend discussions. Mediators Qatar and Pakistan said both sides had agreed on a 60-day roadmap toward a potential final agreement, alongside ongoing technical discussions and the establishment of a monitoring mechanism. Also, shipping data indicated continued movement through the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend. Market participants also pointed to rising Iranian exports via the waterway, including discounted crude sales to China, as evidence of efforts to maintain market share despite the conflict.

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