Silver fell toward $76.8 per ounce on Wednesday to trade at its lowest level in a month as hot US producer inflation and a stronger dollar overshadowed the safe haven appeal of escalating Middle Eastern tensions. This downward movement reflects a market grappling with a 0.7% surge in February wholesale prices that pushed Treasury yields higher and bolstered the greenback ahead of the Fed’s policy decision. While geopolitical risks remain elevated following the killing of Iranian national security chief Ali Larijani and fresh strikes on Persian Gulf energy infrastructure, the rising opportunity cost of holding non yielding assets has forced a repricing of the interest rate outlook. Investors are now closely monitoring the FOMC dot plot and Chair Powell’s press conference to see if persistent price pressures will further delay anticipated cuts for 2026. Silver remains under pressure as the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz tilts global inflation risks to the upside.

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