The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note hovered around 4.5% on Tuesday after climbing in the previous session, as investors monitored US-Iran peace talks while continuing to gauge the outlook for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes this year. In a key development, Washington granted Tehran a 60-day license to sell oil on international markets, boosting expectations of a faster recovery in global supply. Meanwhile, markets remain positioned for tighter monetary policy after the Fed struck a hawkish tone last week and raised its inflation projections. Both Deutsche Bank and BofA Global Research have revised their forecasts to include a rate hike in September. Investors are now looking ahead to this week’s PCE report, which contains the Fed’s preferred inflation measure and is expected to provide fresh clues about underlying price pressures.

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