US 10-Year Yield Eases Further

The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note was at 4.65%, extending the pullback from last session after the US inflation rate refrained from surpassing expectations. Both headline and core inflation rates eased as expected in July, removing some of the pressure on FOMC to raise interest rates next month. Gauges of underlying consumer prices had risen sharply this year after the outbreak of war in Iran lifted energy costs and halted key supply chains. This prompted multiple FOMC members to deliver hawkish dissents in the Fed’s last rate hold, with more policymakers signaling hawkish reaction functions in speeches since. Still, elevated energy prices were still being transmitted to price indices as President Trump hardened his stance on Iran, prompting Tehran to dismiss an imminent suspension on blockades that prevent trade. Concerns that the Fed will not raise rates to combat inflation had already drive long-yields to surge earlier in the month.

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