The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell to around 4.22% on Monday, marking a one-week low as investors positioned ahead of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision, where rates are widely expected to remain unchanged. Markets will closely watch the Fed for signals on the timing of the next rate cut, with two quarter-point reductions priced in for later this year. Attention also turns to President Donald Trump’s expected announcement of his choice to succeed Fed Chair Jerome Powell, with the new appointee likely to align with Trump’s preference for more aggressive rate cuts. Investors will further digest a busy week of US economic data, including durable goods orders, producer prices, exports and imports, and house price figures. Trade tensions remain elevated, with Trump warning that Canada could face 100% tariffs if it finalizes a trade deal with China, adding to global market uncertainty.

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