The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note firmed around 4.46% on Wednesday, approaching its highest level since June last year as stronger-than-expected US inflation data reduced expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. US consumer inflation rose 3.8% in April, above forecasts of 3.7% and the highest since May 2023, as surging energy prices linked to the Middle East conflict added to price pressures. Markets have largely priced out any chance of Fed rate cuts this year, while expectations for a quarter-point rate hike in December have climbed to 35%. Investors are now awaiting the latest producer inflation data for further signals on how the Iran war is affecting the US economy. Meanwhile, oil prices remained elevated as diplomatic efforts to resolve the US-Iran conflict stalled, keeping inflation risks in focus.

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