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IPC Index — Mexico MarketUS heating oil futures rebounded toward $2.24 per gallon after briefly retreating from recent highs, tracking firmer feedstock costs as crude markets stabilized following sharp swings earlier in the week. The earlier pullback was driven by a fading geopolitical risk premium after President Trump signaled a temporary de-escalation in tensions with Iran, easing fears of imminent military action and near-term supply disruptions across the energy complex. While those concerns have moderated, residual uncertainty around Middle East stability has helped keep underlying support intact. On the supply side, EIA data continue to point to tighter near-term availability, with heating oil inventories posting a sizable weekly draw, even as broader distillate and crude supplies remain ample. Still, upside remains constrained by persistently warmer-than-normal temperatures across the eastern US, which are suppressing seasonal demand and limiting the price response despite firmer input costs.
