India 10Y Yield Retreats from Multi-Month Highs

The yield on India’s 10-year G-Sec fell to around 6.94%, retreating from near three-month highs as larger-than-expected FCNR(B) inflows boosted liquidity and improved sentiment toward Indian debt. The RBI said it attracted more than $127 billion through the FCNR(B) route, far exceeding market expectations of around $90 billion, taking total inflows including external commercial borrowings and overseas foreign-currency borrowings to $136.38 billion. The inflows boosted banking-system liquidity as banks swapped much of the foreign currency with the RBI, while the stronger rupee eased imported inflation concerns. This is expected to support demand for shorter-duration securities, particularly five-year maturities, with much of the funds likely to remain in the system for three to five years. However, elevated crude prices and US Treasury yields capped the decline, with Brent near $95 a barrel and the US 10-year yield above 4.80%.


