Japan 10Y Yield Extends Rally on BOJ Hike Bets
Japan’s 10-year government bond yield rose to around 2.59% on Wednesday, scaling its highest levels since 1997 as markets increasingly priced in an imminent interest rate hike from the Bank of Japan. The central bank’s Summary of Opinions from its April meeting indicated policymakers were open to rate increases as early as the next meeting, with surging oil prices heightening inflation risks. Members noted that the economy is recovering at a moderate pace but remains vulnerable to higher energy costs, while underlying inflation was seen gradually converging toward the 2% target. The OECD also projected that the BOJ’s policy rate could reach 2% by the end of 2027. Meanwhile, oil prices stayed elevated as diplomatic efforts to resolve the US-Iran war continued to stall, keeping inflationary pressures in focus.
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