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Central BanksEconomic Calendar

RBNZ Delivers Back-to-Back Rate Hikes

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised its cash rate by 25 bps to 2.75%, delivering a second straight hike after an increase in July and in line with expectations. The decision reflects the need to gradually remove monetary stimulus and bring inflation back to the 2% target midpoint while supporting growth and employment. Annual inflation rose to 4.1% in Q2 2026, largely due to higher fuel prices stemming from the Middle East conflict. However, core inflation, wage growth and inflation expectations remain consistent with inflation returning to the 1-3% target band by mid-2027. The economy has likely resumed its recovery after lacklustre growth in Q2, supported by resilient external demand, export prices and investment in export-oriented sectors. Still, weak income growth, job insecurity and flat house prices weigh on household spending and residential investment. The Committee expects the recovery to strengthen and broaden but remains alert to risks of more persistent inflation.

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