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RippleTechnical Analysis

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP rebounds as whale inflows rise

  • XRP recovers above $1.40 after three consecutive days of declines.
  • Whale accumulation rises to 460 million XRP, the highest since February.
  • XRP structural outlook remains bullish, but momentum indicators suggest overheating.

Ripple (XRP) holds above $1.40 support on Wednesday, as bulls return to take control following three consecutive days of declines. The remittance token’s upside appears capped at $1.50 while extended gains would face additional resistance at $1.70. A break above $2.00 would mark a potential regime shift from bearish to bullish.

XRP whales increase accumulation

XRP rallied by 72% last week, hitting highs around $1.70 before a correction to test support at $1.40 earlier this week. The rally was fueled by increased liquidity as the United States (US) Treasury launched long-term bond buybacks and higher demand through spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and derivatives.

This reinforced expectations of easier financial conditions and revived demand for risk assets. Whale inflows surged to approximately 460 million XRP, the highest since February.

XRP whale inflows | Source: CryptoQuant

XRP spot ETFs continue to gain momentum, with inflows surging to $28 million on Wednesday, up from $24 million the previous day. This pushed cumulative inflows to $1.62 billion. Meanwhile, total assets under management average $1.40 billion.

Crypto Fear & Greed Index | Source: Alternative

However, the correction over the last three days was driven mainly by profit-taking and significantly overheated market conditions.

Technical analysis: XRP retains bullish momentum

XRP trades around $1.44, extending its break above the key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and reinforcing a bullish near-term bias. The spot price holds well above the 50-day EMA at $1.17, the 100-day EMA at $1.20 and the 200-day EMA at $1.35, suggesting a solid underlying demand zone after reclaiming the prior trendline break area around $1.00.

Momentum is constructive, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering in bullish territory near 73 and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remaining positive, hinting that buyers still control the tape despite stretched short-term conditions.

XRP/USDT daily chart

Initial support emerges at the current price area around $1.44, ahead of a deeper layer formed by the 200-day EMA at $1.35 and the cluster of shorter EMAs near $1.20-$1.17, followed by the former break zone close to $1.00. On the topside, the next meaningful hurdle is the descending resistance trendline drawn from $1.66, which remains the first structural cap. A daily close above that barrier would open the way for further gains, while failure to clear it would likely trigger consolidation or a corrective pullback toward the highlighted support band.

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