South Korea 10Y Yield Hits 3-Year High

South Korea’s 10-year government bond yield climbed above 4.40% in mid-July, reaching its highest level since October 2022, as investors increasingly priced in a 25 bps rate hike by the Bank of Korea. The move would mark the central bank’s first increase in more than three years, with most economists expecting another hike by year-end that would bring the policy rate to 3%. Expectations for tighter policy have been reinforced by persistent inflation and resilient economic growth. Consumer prices rose 3.2% in June, the fastest pace in two and a half years, remaining above the BOK’s 2% target. Meanwhile, GDP expanded 1.8% quarter-on-quarter in Q1, the strongest quarterly growth in five years, supported by robust semiconductor exports and resilient domestic demand. Rising house prices, elevated household debt, and a weaker won have further strengthened the case for higher rates by adding to inflation risks and imported cost pressures.




