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SoyBean

Soybeans Fall on Monday as USDA Raises Carryout

Soybeans posted Monday losses of 7 to 15 ½ cents across most contracts, as some back months were slightly higher. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was 13 1/4 cents lower at $9.76 1/2. Soymeal futures were a pressure factor, down $3.10-5.40, as Soy Oil futures were up 32 to 58 points. There were 33 deliveries issued against soybeans on Friday night, with 2 for January bean meal.

Crop Production from this morning showed the NASS soybean yield at 53 bpa, which was unchanged from the November report. Acreage was slightly higher on the harvested side to 80.4 million acres. Production was just 9 mbu higher to 4.262 bbu.

Quarterly Grain Stocks data showed December 1 soybean stocks at 3.29 bbu. That was 190 mbu larger vs. last year and 40 mbu above analysts estimate of 3.25 bbu. 

WASDE data took the production adjustment into account, as USDA also adjusted exports down 60 mbu to 1.575 bbu and crush up 15 mbu to 2.57 bbu. That took the US ending stock number 60 mbu higher to 350 mbu.

USDA’s FGIS tallied soybean export shipments at 1.529 MMT (56.21 mbu) during the week ending on January 8. That was the second largest total this MY, 55.4% larger than the week prior and 12.7% above the same week in last year. China was the top destination of 901,118 MT, with 126,235 MT headed to Mexico. Marketing year exports for 2025/26 are 17.934 MMT (659 mbu) since September 1, which is now 42.7% lower than the same period last year.  

AgRural estimates the Brazilian soybean crop at 0.6% harvested by last Thursday, slightly above the 0.3% pace to start last year. In their WASDE report this morning, USDA did raise the Brazilian soybean production 3 MMT to 178 MMT.

Jan 26 Soybeans  closed at $10.33, down 15 1/2 cents,

Nearby Cash  was $9.76 1/2, down 13 1/4 cents,

Mar 26 Soybeans  closed at $10.49, down 13 1/2 cents,

May 26 Soybeans  closed at $10.61 3/4, down 12 3/4 cents,

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