Australia’s 10-year government bond yield rose to around 4.77%, hitting a two-week high, supported by risks to RBA policy tightening and a rotation away from US Treasuries. The latest Melbourne Institute report showed Australia’s monthly inflation rising 1% in December, the fastest in two years, while strong household spending signals resilient demand, keeping the RBA’s inflation challenge intact. Market pricing currently implies roughly a 25% chance of a rate hike in February and around 70% in May, with investors now focusing on this week’s labor market report for clearer guidance. Traders’ attention was also on Australia’s new 2037 Treasury bond, which has drawn strong early demand well above previous sales ahead of Wednesday’s pricing. Meanwhile, renewed US tariff threats targeting Europe over Greenland reignited “sell America” sentiment, prompting investors to seek alternative assets.

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