Australia’s consumer inflation expectations fell to 5.6% in May 2026 from April’s more than three-year high of 5.9%. Still, concerns over stubborn price pressures persisted after a Reserve Bank official warned that the recent surge in oil prices amid the Iran conflict posed a challenge and risked lifting inflation expectations further. Meanwhile, minutes from the RBA’s May meeting showed policymakers expect underlying inflation to remain above 3% until late 2027, only returning to the midpoint of the 2–3% target range by mid-2028. Earlier data also highlighted lingering inflationary pressures, with Australia’s annual inflation rate accelerating to 4.6% in March, the highest since September 2023 and well above the central bank’s target band. The RBA in May delivered the third rate hikes, bringing borrowing costs to 4.35%, the highest level since January 2025.

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