The S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.7% to 9,082 on Monday, supported by optimism over progress in US–China trade negotiations. The two largest economies reached a preliminary consensus on several key issues, including export controls, fentanyl regulation, and shipping levies. In Australia, focus is on upcoming Q3 inflation data and the September Monthly CPI, which will guide the central bank’s next policy move. As the RBA appears on course to meet its inflation and employment objectives, forthcoming data may highlight developing challenges that could prompt a reassessment of the board’s policy outlook. Emerging signs of persistent price pressures, as reflected in recent monthly inflation data, could influence the bank to maintain its current policy stance next week, following three rate reductions earlier in the year. The banking sector was among the standout performers, with National Australia Bank (1.5%), Commonwealth Bank (1.3%), and Westpac Banking Corporation (1.1%) all advancing.

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