The dollar index traded around 101 on Tuesday, hovering near its highest level since May 2025 as investors assessed signs of progress in US-Iran peace talks while continuing to gauge the outlook for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes this year. In a key development, Washington granted Tehran a 60-day license to sell oil on international markets, boosting expectations of a faster recovery in global supply. Meanwhile, markets remain positioned for Fed rate hikes following the central bank’s hawkish stance last week and upward revisions to its inflation projections. Both Deutsche Bank and BofA Global Research have updated their forecasts to include a rate increase in September. Investors are now focused on this week’s PCE report, which contains the Fed’s preferred inflation measure and could offer fresh clues on underlying price pressures.

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