Today’s macroeconomic calendar could drive volatility primarily in EUR/USD, government bonds, and natural gas . Investors will focus on Germany’s trade data, the ECB Meeting Minutes , and the weekly U.S. labor market report. Later in the day, attention will shift to U.S. existing home sales, the EIA natural gas storage report , speeches from Fed and Bank of England officials, while PepsiCo (PEP.US) will unofficially kick off the U.S. earnings season.

Macro calendar

AM GMT – Germany – Trade Balance (Seasonally Adjusted) Actual: EUR 19.1B | Forecast: EUR 14.8B | Previous: EUR 14.5B 7 AM GMT – Germany – Imports MoM (Seasonally Adjusted) Actual: -2.5% | Forecast: -0.8% | Previous: +1.2% 7 AM GMT – Germany – Exports MoM (Seasonally Adjusted) Actual: +0.9% | Forecast: -0.4% | Previous: +0.9% 12:30 PM GMT – Eurozone – ECB Meeting Minutes 1:30 PM GMT – United States – Initial Jobless Claims Forecast: 217K | Previous: 215K 1:30 PM GMT – United States – Continuing Jobless Claims Forecast: 1.814M | Previous: 1.814M 3:00 PM GMT – United States – Existing Home Sales Forecast: 4.20M | Previous: 4.17M 3:00 PM GMT – United States – Existing Home Sales MoM Forecast: 1.0% | Previous: 3.2% 3:30 PM GMT – United States – EIA Natural Gas Storage Change Forecast: 58 billion cubic feet | Previous: 87 billion cubic feet Central bank speakers

• 2 PM GMT – United States – John Williams (Federal Reserve)
• 5 PM GMT – United States – Michael Barr (Federal Reserve)
• 6:30 PM GMT – United States – Christopher Waller (Federal Reserve)
• 8:30 PM GMT – United Kingdom – Andrew Breeden (Bank of England)

Earnings

• 11 AM GMT – PepsiCo (PEP.US) – Quarterly earnings release

EUR/USD and PepsiCo (D1 chart)

EUR/USD is trading below both the 200-day and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMA200 and EMA50, shown by the red and orange ribbons) , indicating that the broader downtrend remains intact. Source: xStation 5 PepsiCo shares have fallen nearly 20% from their recent highs and are currently trading about USD 5 below the EMA200 . A strong earnings report could lift the stock back above this key technical level and support a trend reversal. Key support is currently located around USD 130–132 per share , where the stock previously found buying interest, while the major resistance lies in the USD 147–150 range. A decisive breakout above that resistance could open the way for a move toward USD 170 per share .

Source: xStation 5

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