US gasoline prices held below $3 per gallon, consolidating just above three-month lows, as progress in US–Iran talks raised expectations of improved global oil supply. The US Treasury issued a 60-day license authorizing the production, shipment, and sale of Iranian oil. While both sides reported progress in early talks toward a broader agreement, inconsistencies remain, with Vice President JD Vance stating that Iran agreed to allow nuclear inspections, an assertion Tehran has disputed. Meanwhile, the US–Iran diplomacy has eased pressure on American motorists, contributing to lower fuel costs at the pump, with gasoline prices falling for a sixth straight week and down roughly 15% from their May peak. Elsewhere, US refining supply faced short-term disruptions, with TotalEnergies’ 238,000 bpd Port Arthur refinery shut after a lightning outage and Marathon’s 631,000 bpd Galveston Bay facility hit by a fire.

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