India 10Y Yield Hits 12-Week High

The yield on India’s 10-year G-Sec rose to around 6.95%, extending gains from the previous session to a twelve-week high as rising expectations of tighter monetary policy and elevated oil prices added to upward pressure on yields. Hawkish comments from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh lifted expectations of a September US rate hike, keeping US Treasury yields elevated and reducing demand for Indian debt. In the domestic market, investors remained cautious ahead of April-June GDP data, with stronger-than-expected growth potentially reinforcing expectations for RBI policy tightening. Meanwhile, Brent crude climbed back toward $90 a barrel, heightening inflation concerns and limiting the scope for monetary easing. The RBI’s August meeting minutes, which indicated that policymakers could consider rate hikes if inflation risks broaden, further dampened sentiment toward government bonds.



